The formula I gave you is confirmed word-for-word from the original 1986 letter. Verified.
Confirmed across multiple letters and annual meeting transcripts. He uses the risk-free rate, not WACC or CAPM.
"Intrinsic value is the discounted value of the cash that can be taken out of a business during its remaining life." — confirmed verbatim.
Never pay intrinsic value — always demand a cushion. Confirmed across many letters.
The working capital adjustment in owner earnings is more important than I made it sound. Here is the exact nuance from the 1986 letter:
Most summaries of owner earnings skip this working capital nuance. It matters for capital-intensive businesses like retailers and manufacturers where inventory and receivables grow with the business.
Owner Earnings DCF is the primary formula from the letters. But there is a second, simpler method Buffett has also referenced — especially for stable, no-growth businesses:
One of Buffett's most important and least-discussed valuation concepts. Never mentioned in our conversation. See the dedicated tab.
He calls it a "flawed favourite of Wall Street" in the 2024 letter. Confirmed from primary source. Never mentioned. See the dedicated tab.
From around 2018 onwards, Buffett shifted to using "operating earnings" as his primary Berkshire performance metric — excluding unrealized capital gains/losses. Very different from owner earnings.
Buffett's 1983 letter contains one of the most important essays on goodwill ever written — distinguishing between accounting goodwill (which declines) and economic goodwill (which grows). Entirely missed.
Buffett's view that retained earnings reinvested at high returns are worth more than dividends paid out is a key concept he built across multiple letters. Partially touched but never explained fully.
Buffett's 1989 letter introduced this concept — the tendency of corporations to mindlessly mimic each other, approve bad acquisitions, and resist change. One of the most unique and practical ideas he ever wrote. Completely missed.
This is one of the most practically useful concepts in all 48 years of letters — and almost nobody talks about it. Here's the problem Buffett identified:
When Berkshire owns 10% of Coca-Cola, and Coca-Cola earns $1 billion, Berkshire only reports the dividends received — say $100 million — as income on its books. The remaining $900M that Coca-Cola retains and reinvests never appears in Berkshire's reported earnings at all.
So Buffett invented "look-through earnings" — what Berkshire's reported earnings would be if it could include its full proportional share of every investee's total earnings:
Why does this matter for you as an investor? Because it gives you the real economic picture. A company that retains and reinvests earnings at 20% return is building value for you even though it never shows up in reported earnings. Buffett called these retained earnings "more valuable" than dividends precisely because great businesses can redeploy them at high rates of return.
This is not a casual preference — it is a formal ban. Buffett confirmed from the 2024 letter, verified from the primary source:
And from an earlier letter: "Berkshire's strength comes from its earnings delivered after interest costs, taxes and substantial charges for depreciation and amortization. EBITDA is a banned measurement at Berkshire."
Why does he hate EBITDA so much? Three reasons he's stated explicitly:
From 2018, GAAP accounting rules changed to require that unrealized gains and losses on stock portfolios be included in reported net income. This means Berkshire's GAAP earnings now swing by billions every quarter purely because the stock market moved — even if Berkshire sold nothing.
Buffett's response was to formally adopt "operating earnings" as his primary metric — which strips out those unrealized mark-to-market swings:
In 2024, Berkshire reported $47.4 billion in operating earnings. This is what Buffett says actually measures the business performance. The GAAP number fluctuates wildly and is, in his words, "worse than useless" for evaluating Berkshire's year-to-year progress.
Buffett wrote that before entering the business world he assumed managers would generally act rationally in the interests of shareholders. He was wrong. He discovered what he called the "institutional imperative" — four irrational but near-universal tendencies in corporate behaviour:
Accounting goodwill is created when you pay more than book value for a business — it sits on the balance sheet and gets amortised down over time, reducing reported earnings. Wall Street treats it as an artificial, declining number.
Buffett introduced a completely different concept — economic goodwill — which is the opposite: it grows over time and is far more valuable than anything on a balance sheet.
See's Candy is his example: when Berkshire bought it for $25M in 1972, the tangible assets were worth about $8M. The $17M premium was accounting goodwill. But the real prize was economic goodwill — See's ability to raise prices every year with zero capital investment, because customers were emotionally attached to the brand.
This is perhaps the single most important structural insight in all the letters — and we only mentioned float briefly. Here is how it actually works:
In 2024, Berkshire's insurance float was approximately $173 billion. At a 5% return on that float, that is ~$8.65 billion in investment income annually — generated from money Berkshire doesn't even own. This is Berkshire's structural engine that no other investment vehicle can replicate.